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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1679050100150200250125121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#3
58.11.5
54.653.1
Auto14.9
Teleop33.3
End8.3
red by 20.1
5926
#18
38.01.8
37.138.9
Auto13.6
Teleop18.3
End6.0
Second
302
#10
58.01.5
57.155.6
Auto14.4
Teleop32.9
End8.5
red by 24.2
7501
#37
33.81.8
30.232.0
Auto11.1
Teleop16.0
End6.9
Third
548
#20
42.01.5
40.839.3
Auto10.7
Teleop24.2
End6.9
red by 12.7
4453
#28
29.31.8
26.428.2
Auto9.9
Teleop11.6
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsEarned8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
98%Activation oddsMissed82%Activation oddsEarned