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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1491256080100140160180200220151135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#10
58.00.6
55.656.2
Auto14.4
Teleop32.9
End8.5
blue by 4.1
62.11.0
58.359.3
Auto14.1
Teleop38.2
End7.7
Second
862
#1
52.20.6
48.849.4
Auto9.5
Teleop33.9
End8.1
red by 10.3
1023
#23
41.91.0
46.347.3
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End8.2
Third
9208
#31
35.90.6
36.937.5
Auto11.4
Teleop16.3
End7.7
red by 19.0
2604
#35
17.01.0
15.816.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
54%Sustainability oddsEarned52%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned