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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140135100120160180127143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6078
#32
45.90.6
47.346.7
Auto10.5
Teleop29.5
End5.0
blue by 0.9
2960
#16
46.81.0
48.249.2
Auto11.7
Teleop28.0
End6.8
Second
42.70.6
46.646.1
Auto13.4
Teleop21.8
End6.8
blue by 3.3
503
#9
45.91.0
47.748.8
Auto12.7
Teleop22.3
End10.6
Third
5926
#18
38.00.6
39.038.4
Auto13.6
Teleop18.3
End6.0
red by 2.7
5534
#17
35.31.0
31.532.6
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
36%Sustainability oddsEarned42%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
82%Activation oddsMissed92%Activation oddsEarned