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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331196080100140160180200162135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.01.9
48.950.8
Auto14.4
Teleop32.0
End7.3
red by 10.3
3546
#29
44.71.1
46.848.0
Auto11.4
Teleop24.8
End8.3
Second
5561
#11
40.51.9
37.739.7
Auto13.2
Teleop19.7
End7.7
red by 2.3
6753
#15
38.31.1
32.633.7
Auto10.6
Teleop20.0
End8.0
Third
2771
#13
38.11.9
36.438.3
Auto12.2
Teleop19.2
End6.9
red by 3.0
5167
#21
35.11.1
33.734.8
Auto12.4
Teleop16.4
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
40%Sustainability oddsEarned51%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned