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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1301495010020013178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#1
52.20.5
49.449.9
Auto9.5
Teleop33.9
End8.1
blue by 2.2
5460
#14
54.44.0
59.755.7
Auto15.4
Teleop32.4
End5.5
Second
503
#9
45.90.5
48.849.2
Auto12.7
Teleop22.3
End10.6
Level
6078
#32
45.94.0
46.742.8
Auto10.5
Teleop29.5
End5.0
Third
8382
#39
25.10.5
25.926.4
Auto6.0
Teleop11.7
End7.4
blue by 10.9
7782
#40
36.04.0
35.031.0
Auto11.4
Teleop17.4
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsEarned73%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned56%Activation oddsEarned