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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13911850100150200147120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#26
44.21.3
41.242.5
Auto13.3
Teleop22.5
End7.8
red by 1.5
42.70.4
46.146.5
Auto13.4
Teleop21.8
End6.8
Second
1023
#23
41.91.3
47.348.6
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End8.2
red by 6.6
5534
#17
35.30.4
32.633.0
Auto11.0
Teleop19.4
End5.1
Third
5561
#11
40.51.3
39.740.9
Auto13.2
Teleop19.7
End7.7
red by 9.9
7250
#38
30.60.4
35.035.4
Auto9.9
Teleop12.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
52%Sustainability oddsEarned48%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned