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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10615150200117157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1025
#25
40.00.8
38.339.1
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End6.9
blue by 18.0
245
#3
58.11.1
53.154.2
Auto14.9
Teleop33.3
End8.3
Second
6753
#15
38.30.8
33.734.5
Auto10.6
Teleop20.0
End8.0
blue by 16.3
54.61.1
50.351.4
Auto16.0
Teleop29.1
End7.9
Third
7501
#37
33.80.8
32.933.7
Auto11.1
Teleop16.0
End6.9
blue by 4.5
8179
#30
38.31.1
36.137.2
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned61%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
77%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned