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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12712780100120140160128136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#10
58.00.6
56.156.6
Auto14.4
Teleop32.9
End8.5
red by 13.8
2832
#26
44.21.1
42.543.6
Auto13.3
Teleop22.5
End7.8
Second
7782
#40
36.00.6
31.031.6
Auto11.4
Teleop17.4
End6.7
blue by 4.0
1025
#25
40.01.1
39.140.3
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End6.9
Third
308
#36
34.90.6
36.236.8
Auto10.6
Teleop18.9
End5.0
blue by 3.4
8179
#30
38.31.1
37.238.3
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned49%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned