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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10313750150200125133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.01.6
51.152.7
Auto14.4
Teleop32.0
End7.3
red by 8.0
5660
#19
47.00.6
44.845.4
Auto10.2
Teleop27.7
End8.5
Second
7782
#40
36.01.6
33.435.0
Auto11.4
Teleop17.4
End6.7
blue by 6.7
42.70.6
46.847.4
Auto13.4
Teleop21.8
End6.8
Third
2604
#35
17.01.6
16.618.2
Auto3.7
Teleop4.8
End8.9
blue by 18.0
308
#36
34.90.6
35.836.4
Auto10.6
Teleop18.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
25%Sustainability oddsEarned72%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned57%Activation oddsEarned