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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147146120130140160170139116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.2
55.455.5
Auto15.4
Teleop28.2
End8.0
blue by 1.4
5460
#14
54.41.5
56.855.3
Auto15.4
Teleop32.4
End5.5
Second
3767
#22
44.20.2
42.142.3
Auto10.9
Teleop25.1
End7.4
blue by 8.0
862
#1
52.21.5
50.749.2
Auto9.5
Teleop33.9
End8.1
Third
2771
#13
38.10.2
40.040.2
Auto12.2
Teleop19.2
End6.9
red by 7.4
7250
#38
30.61.5
32.831.3
Auto9.9
Teleop12.5
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
70%Sustainability oddsEarned89%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsMissed