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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15513550100200151127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4362
#12
54.90.2
54.454.6
Auto16.0
Teleop30.4
End7.1
red by 9.0
6078
#32
45.90.0
46.146.0
Auto10.5
Teleop29.5
End5.0
Second
862
#1
52.20.2
51.651.8
Auto9.5
Teleop33.9
End8.1
red by 10.3
1023
#23
41.90.0
42.042.0
Auto11.2
Teleop22.4
End8.2
Third
1025
#25
40.00.2
39.539.6
Auto10.7
Teleop22.1
End6.9
blue by 0.5
5561
#11
40.50.0
40.740.7
Auto13.2
Teleop19.7
End7.7