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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16018550100200250169173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.60.4
63.864.2
Auto17.5
Teleop34.9
End10.7
blue by 4.9
69.50.0
70.170.0
Auto15.3
Teleop42.2
End9.7
Second
56.70.4
55.956.3
Auto14.8
Teleop32.2
End8.7
blue by 7.6
64.20.0
64.864.8
Auto17.8
Teleop37.1
End7.5
Third
217
#37
38.70.4
37.938.3
Auto8.9
Teleop24.0
End4.7
blue by 4.4
3536
#20
43.20.0
43.743.7
Auto11.0
Teleop23.5
End7.6