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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1391206080100160180200127131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#25
43.00.1
40.140.0
Auto12.0
Teleop23.7
End6.9
blue by 9.6
52.61.0
52.653.6
Auto12.0
Teleop30.8
End8.1
Second
3656
#23
41.50.1
45.745.7
Auto12.6
Teleop21.1
End6.9
red by 3.5
7054
#12
38.01.0
30.831.9
Auto13.3
Teleop15.4
End9.5
Third
68
#30
36.90.1
42.242.2
Auto11.1
Teleop17.5
End8.3
red by 3.0
5535
#33
33.91.0
31.933.0
Auto8.8
Teleop19.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
55%Sustainability oddsEarned33%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned81%Activation oddsEarned