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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154144100200250162141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.01.2
63.464.6
Auto15.4
Teleop37.6
End9.1
red by 8.3
56.70.3
57.958.2
Auto14.8
Teleop32.2
End8.7
Second
5675
#14
45.61.2
46.347.6
Auto13.9
Teleop24.8
End6.8
red by 4.1
3656
#23
41.50.3
45.746.0
Auto12.6
Teleop21.1
End6.9
Third
7790
#24
33.41.2
37.839.0
Auto9.7
Teleop17.4
End6.0
blue by 0.5
5535
#33
33.90.3
33.033.3
Auto8.8
Teleop19.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
80%Sustainability oddsEarned45%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
90%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned