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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1601135010015020016169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#9
53.70.8
53.253.9
Auto13.4
Teleop31.3
End7.9
red by 4.9
48.82.9
49.746.9
Auto14.8
Teleop26.7
End7.5
Second
3414
#10
47.70.8
48.749.5
Auto14.3
Teleop25.0
End7.5
red by 16.7
3875
#38
31.02.9
33.931.0
Auto9.2
Teleop15.4
End6.0
Third
7056
#19
45.30.8
45.346.0
Auto13.6
Teleop22.5
End9.1
red by 17.5
9215
#36
27.82.9
28.325.4
Auto11.0
Teleop12.0
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsEarned57%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
96%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsMissed