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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15811550100200168119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.20.7
64.264.9
Auto17.8
Teleop37.1
End7.5
red by 21.1
3536
#20
43.20.0
43.743.8
Auto11.0
Teleop23.5
End7.6
Second
5436
#28
44.50.7
43.243.9
Auto12.3
Teleop25.3
End6.3
red by 2.3
4392
#31
42.20.0
42.942.9
Auto12.1
Teleop25.6
End4.4
Third
68
#30
36.90.7
36.937.6
Auto11.1
Teleop17.5
End8.3
red by 10.1
3098
#29
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto7.9
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
89%Sustainability oddsEarned54%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned38%Activation oddsMissed