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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15216550100200250168173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.90.5
53.253.8
Auto12.8
Teleop30.1
End10.0
blue by 11.1
65.00.3
65.465.8
Auto15.4
Teleop37.6
End9.1
Second
48.80.5
48.148.6
Auto14.8
Teleop26.7
End7.5
blue by 0.2
85
#15
49.00.3
49.449.7
Auto13.3
Teleop28.1
End7.0
Third
5436
#28
44.50.5
43.944.4
Auto12.3
Teleop25.3
End6.3
red by 1.6
5114
#25
43.00.3
43.443.7
Auto12.0
Teleop23.7
End6.9