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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1431540100200300400500600700129168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.60.5
52.451.9
Auto13.6
Teleop31.4
End9.5
blue by 3.5
5166
#17
59.11.7
53.855.4
Auto17.4
Teleop31.6
End7.7
Second
9312
#13
54.00.5
50.349.8
Auto12.1
Teleop33.2
End8.1
blue by 1.6
55.61.7
50.151.7
Auto15.0
Teleop31.7
End8.5
Third
9226
#29
35.90.5
36.836.4
Auto9.5
Teleop19.9
End6.3
blue by 14.2
8608
#10
50.11.7
44.746.4
Auto14.0
Teleop25.3
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsEarned78%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned