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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions155835010020025015557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.90.6
62.863.4
Auto17.1
Teleop38.3
End9.1
red by 23.2
3572
#11
41.82.0
45.143.1
Auto10.8
Teleop24.2
End6.3
Second
3604
#12
41.70.6
37.838.4
Auto11.4
Teleop24.4
End5.7
red by 19.9
6005
#39
21.82.0
24.322.3
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End9.0
Third
7174
#30
37.30.6
35.436.0
Auto12.1
Teleop18.2
End7.0
red by 18.6
9204
#38
18.72.0
17.515.5
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
74%Sustainability oddsEarned24%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
91%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsMissed