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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134101050150200131120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#16
64.90.6
63.864.4
Auto16.8
Teleop36.5
End9.8
red by 25.9
4377
#32
39.01.1
37.438.4
Auto10.1
Teleop20.7
End7.2
Second
3667
#36
33.30.6
30.431.0
Auto10.0
Teleop18.0
End5.3
blue by 1.8
6637
#35
35.11.1
33.734.8
Auto12.2
Teleop15.8
End6.7
Third
4325
#37
28.00.6
28.529.2
Auto6.3
Teleop15.0
End6.6
blue by 3.0
3096
#33
31.01.1
28.930.0
Auto9.7
Teleop16.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
64%Sustainability oddsEarned35%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
34%Activation oddsEarned34%Activation oddsEarned