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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132142050100200250300127136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#17
59.10.1
56.756.8
Auto17.4
Teleop31.6
End7.7
red by 3.5
55.60.7
53.753.0
Auto15.0
Teleop31.7
End8.5
Second
46.90.1
46.146.2
Auto12.9
Teleop24.7
End8.7
red by 5.1
3572
#11
41.80.7
43.142.4
Auto10.8
Teleop24.2
End6.3
Third
6005
#39
21.80.1
22.322.5
Auto6.1
Teleop7.1
End9.0
blue by 12.2
3603
#14
34.00.7
34.834.1
Auto10.3
Teleop17.2
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
59%Sustainability oddsEarned85%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsEarned82%Activation oddsEarned