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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130108050150200250300154113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#20
47.42.3
39.541.9
Auto13.2
Teleop27.9
End6.1
red by 4.5
9176
#34
42.80.6
37.838.4
Auto12.0
Teleop24.2
End5.8
Second
3604
#12
41.72.3
36.839.1
Auto11.4
Teleop24.4
End5.7
red by 3.7
6569
#28
38.00.6
33.734.3
Auto10.9
Teleop20.6
End6.3
Third
573
#23
39.92.3
42.544.8
Auto12.5
Teleop23.0
End4.1
red by 3.9
9226
#29
35.90.6
32.232.8
Auto9.5
Teleop19.9
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsEarned12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsEarned