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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1408850100200117114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#16
64.90.9
64.463.6
Auto16.8
Teleop36.5
End9.8
red by 25.8
4216
#21
39.10.7
37.338.0
Auto13.6
Teleop17.1
End8.7
Second
9245
#27
35.00.9
35.834.9
Auto9.3
Teleop19.7
End5.9
blue by 2.3
7174
#30
37.30.7
36.036.7
Auto12.1
Teleop18.2
End7.0
Third
4810
#40
24.60.9
24.723.8
Auto8.4
Teleop11.8
End4.7
red by 5.9
9204
#38
18.70.7
15.516.2
Auto6.7
Teleop7.4
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsEarned40%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
54%Activation oddsMissed81%Activation oddsEarned