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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139144050100200250300350139134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
#17
59.10.5
56.857.4
Auto17.4
Teleop31.6
End7.7
red by 0.9
58.20.0
56.556.5
Auto11.7
Teleop35.7
End9.6
Second
123
#18
42.20.5
42.442.9
Auto12.3
Teleop22.5
End6.4
blue by 5.2
1918
#20
47.40.0
48.248.2
Auto13.2
Teleop27.9
End6.1
Third
4377
#32
39.00.5
38.539.0
Auto10.1
Teleop20.7
End7.2
red by 8.1
3096
#33
31.00.0
31.031.0
Auto9.7
Teleop16.2
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
68%Sustainability oddsEarned82%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned85%Activation oddsMissed