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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165159120130140150170180190200156169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#16
64.90.1
65.064.9
Auto16.8
Teleop36.5
End9.8
red by 5.8
5166
#17
59.10.4
57.457.9
Auto17.4
Teleop31.6
End7.7
Second
55.60.1
55.755.6
Auto13.6
Teleop31.4
End9.5
blue by 2.6
58.20.4
56.657.0
Auto11.7
Teleop35.7
End9.6
Third
7174
#30
37.30.1
37.437.3
Auto12.1
Teleop18.2
End7.0
blue by 6.6
5901
#19
43.90.4
42.342.7
Auto10.9
Teleop22.6
End9.2