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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165143100200250169118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#16
64.90.4
64.464.7
Auto16.8
Teleop36.5
End9.8
red by 17.6
1918
#20
47.40.8
48.247.4
Auto13.2
Teleop27.9
End6.1
Second
55.60.4
55.055.4
Auto13.6
Teleop31.4
End9.5
red by 8.7
46.90.8
47.746.9
Auto12.9
Teleop24.7
End8.7
Third
7174
#30
37.30.4
36.837.1
Auto12.1
Teleop18.2
End7.0
blue by 4.4
3604
#12
41.70.8
42.541.7
Auto11.4
Teleop24.4
End5.7