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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162166050100200250300165164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#1
60.20.2
60.060.2
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End9.5
blue by 0.3
3655
#13
60.50.2
60.760.8
Auto13.8
Teleop36.3
End9.0
Second
818
#14
51.50.2
51.351.5
Auto13.8
Teleop30.0
End6.9
blue by 3.9
55.40.2
55.655.8
Auto14.0
Teleop30.5
End9.7
Third
226
#25
44.40.2
44.244.4
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End9.6
blue by 0.2
1481
#26
44.70.2
44.845.0
Auto10.7
Teleop24.3
End8.7