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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121137050100150200250133139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#20
60.30.8
58.959.7
Auto18.0
Teleop31.1
End9.2
red by 5.4
1701
#18
54.90.8
52.253.0
Auto12.8
Teleop33.7
End7.3
Second
910
#23
45.40.8
34.735.5
Auto14.3
Teleop22.7
End7.7
blue by 1.0
46.40.8
39.139.9
Auto12.0
Teleop26.2
End7.7
Third
7226
#37
29.50.8
23.224.0
Auto10.6
Teleop12.2
End6.9
blue by 9.0
3322
#17
38.50.8
35.636.4
Auto11.0
Teleop20.4
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
32%Sustainability oddsEarned36%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned