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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15412350100200116147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#14
51.51.7
52.250.5
Auto13.8
Teleop30.0
End6.9
blue by 6.2
57.71.8
52.053.9
Auto15.3
Teleop32.3
End8.8
Second
5152
#16
47.91.7
45.543.8
Auto12.5
Teleop24.9
End9.9
blue by 7.5
55.41.8
47.949.8
Auto14.0
Teleop30.5
End9.7
Third
107
#24
43.61.7
47.145.4
Auto12.9
Teleop22.9
End7.1
red by 14.7
28.91.8
19.521.3
Auto7.4
Teleop14.5
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
75%Sustainability oddsEarned18%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
97%Activation oddsMissed88%Activation oddsEarned