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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14114480100120160180200220117121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#1
60.21.1
56.455.2
Auto15.4
Teleop34.0
End9.5
red by 0.1
60.11.2
57.155.9
Auto17.2
Teleop31.3
End10.8
Second
3770
#32
40.31.1
40.139.0
Auto10.1
Teleop20.9
End9.2
blue by 14.5
1684
#12
54.81.2
52.251.0
Auto12.5
Teleop33.8
End8.4
Third
4237
#40
34.91.1
38.537.4
Auto12.3
Teleop13.5
End9.0
red by 13.5
5860
#39
21.31.2
25.224.0
Auto9.2
Teleop6.4
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsEarned89%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
99%Activation oddsMissed94%Activation oddsEarned