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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121146050100200250136131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.41.3
52.653.9
Auto14.0
Teleop30.5
End9.7
blue by 2.3
57.70.2
55.355.1
Auto15.3
Teleop32.3
End8.8
Second
4983
#15
40.61.3
38.139.4
Auto8.9
Teleop22.0
End10.3
blue by 3.2
74
#22
43.80.2
43.943.7
Auto11.4
Teleop21.8
End9.8
Third
7226
#37
29.51.3
26.027.3
Auto10.6
Teleop12.2
End6.9
blue by 5.3
4237
#40
34.90.2
35.835.6
Auto12.3
Teleop13.5
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
60%Sustainability oddsEarned38%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned