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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10615650200101134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.40.3
44.744.4
Auto12.0
Teleop26.2
End7.7
blue by 9.0
55.40.4
53.953.5
Auto14.0
Teleop30.5
End9.7
Second
1481
#26
44.70.3
39.238.9
Auto10.7
Teleop24.3
End8.7
blue by 3.2
5152
#16
47.90.4
45.344.9
Auto12.5
Teleop24.9
End9.9
Third
5860
#39
21.30.3
21.821.5
Auto9.2
Teleop6.4
End6.0
blue by 22.5
74
#22
43.80.4
43.743.3
Auto11.4
Teleop21.8
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
35%Sustainability oddsMissed75%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned