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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121154608010014018020022092154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5216
#10
52.41.7
55.053.3
Auto12.6
Teleop29.2
End9.1
blue by 7.9
494
#20
60.30.2
57.958.2
Auto18.0
Teleop31.1
End9.2
Second
4237
#40
34.91.7
35.633.9
Auto12.3
Teleop13.5
End9.0
blue by 14.4
49.30.2
47.447.6
Auto13.8
Teleop26.3
End8.3
Third
8728
#19
29.31.7
27.025.3
Auto8.2
Teleop12.0
End9.3
blue by 15.1
226
#25
44.40.2
39.139.3
Auto12.6
Teleop21.9
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed63%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned