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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10211850150200103113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#29
43.10.4
42.743.1
Auto12.1
Teleop22.9
End7.1
blue by 12.4
55.40.3
53.453.7
Auto14.0
Teleop30.5
End9.7
Second
3618
#36
34.90.4
33.834.1
Auto9.4
Teleop19.6
End5.6
red by 5.6
8728
#19
29.30.3
27.728.0
Auto8.2
Teleop12.0
End9.3
Third
9242
#38
21.30.4
20.921.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.8
End10.1
blue by 6.4
9207
#33
27.70.3
27.427.7
Auto6.8
Teleop14.4
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
44%Sustainability oddsMissed56%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned