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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177154100200250177169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#20
60.30.2
60.560.7
Auto18.0
Teleop31.1
End9.2
red by 5.5
1684
#12
54.80.4
54.354.7
Auto12.5
Teleop33.8
End8.4
Second
60.10.2
60.360.5
Auto17.2
Teleop31.3
End10.8
red by 10.8
49.30.4
48.849.2
Auto13.8
Teleop26.3
End8.3
Third
8426
#11
48.30.2
48.548.7
Auto13.0
Teleop25.3
End8.8
red by 1.9
46.40.4
45.946.3
Auto12.0
Teleop26.2
End7.7