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Red163
776958.2
590143.9
516659.1
Blue172
609065.7
150657.8
21739.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164169120140180200220163172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5166
Unranked
59.10.1
59.059.1
Auto17.3
Teleop31.5
End7.9
blue by 6.6
6090
Unranked
65.70.3
65.565.8
Auto17.9
Teleop35.1
End11.0
Second
7769
Unranked
58.20.1
58.158.2
Auto11.5
Teleop35.6
End9.8
red by 0.5
1506
Unranked
57.80.3
57.657.9
Auto15.2
Teleop32.5
End9.0
Third
5901
Unranked
43.90.1
43.843.9
Auto10.7
Teleop22.4
End9.4
red by 4.1
217
Unranked
39.80.3
39.639.9
Auto9.3
Teleop24.2
End5.0