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Red156
785616.8
170145.6
233761.7
Blue106
341444.0
50339.8
691422.2
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13311050100150200156106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.70.6
61.061.7
Auto15.2
Teleop37.9
End8.5
red by 17.7
44.00.0
44.044.0
Auto14.2
Teleop21.3
End8.5
Second
45.60.6
45.045.6
Auto13.4
Teleop23.4
End8.7
red by 5.8
503
#4
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto14.9
Teleop13.7
End11.2
Third
7856
#30
16.80.6
16.216.8
Auto5.7
Teleop6.2
End4.9
blue by 5.4
6914
#17
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto7.7
Teleop10.7
End3.8