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Red81
50339.8
719612.9
653221.1
Blue52
267318.7
309627.9
81522.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69600501001508152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#4
39.81.1
34.835.9
Auto14.9
Teleop13.7
End11.2
red by 11.9
27.90.4
23.623.2
Auto8.4
Teleop13.4
End6.2
Second
6532
#16
21.11.9
16.818.7
Auto9.5
Teleop5.1
End6.5
blue by 1.4
815
#18
22.50.6
18.818.2
Auto7.1
Teleop8.5
End6.9
Third
7196
#28
12.91.9
12.314.2
Auto2.7
Teleop3.3
End6.9
blue by 5.8
2673
#19
18.70.4
15.314.9
Auto2.8
Teleop11.8
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned18%Activation oddsMissed