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Red45
546713.5
691422.2
66168.7
Blue134
222424.1
262032.9
233761.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50107015045134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6914
#17
22.21.0
24.623.6
Auto7.7
Teleop10.7
End3.8
blue by 39.5
61.73.2
42.345.5
Auto15.2
Teleop37.9
End8.5
Second
5467
#22
13.50.6
15.915.3
Auto1.8
Teleop6.7
End5.0
blue by 19.4
32.93.2
30.633.8
Auto9.8
Teleop13.7
End9.5
Third
6616
#39DQ
8.71.0
13.312.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.0
End3.2
blue by 15.4
2224
#12
24.11.9
20.122.0
Auto8.9
Teleop7.7
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
64%Activation oddsMissed70%Activation oddsEarned