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Red70
828024.7
361913.7
485116.0
Blue52
609916.4
468020.5
557717.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605601001502007052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8280
#14
24.70.6
19.620.2
Auto10.5
Teleop7.9
End6.3
red by 4.2
4680
#25
20.50.1
14.014.0
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End6.3
Second
4851
#15
16.01.0
22.523.6
Auto2.7
Teleop7.3
End6.0
blue by 1.5
5577
#21
17.50.1
17.817.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End7.1
Third
3619
#38
13.71.0
13.714.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End2.8
blue by 2.7
6099
#34
16.40.2
21.521.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
48%Activation oddsEarned25%Activation oddsEarned