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Red101
590130.8
557717.5
50339.8
Blue62
609916.4
222424.1
718827.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7452020406010012014010162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#4
39.82.0
32.834.8
Auto14.9
Teleop13.7
End11.2
red by 12.4
7188
#26
27.51.1
15.917.0
Auto7.3
Teleop14.6
End5.6
Second
30.83.3
18.421.7
Auto7.6
Teleop15.0
End8.1
red by 6.6
2224
#12
24.10.7
17.017.7
Auto8.9
Teleop7.7
End7.5
Third
5577
#21
17.52.0
15.217.2
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End7.1
red by 1.1
6099
#34
16.41.1
18.920.0
Auto4.9
Teleop9.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsMissed