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Red70
590130.8
66168.7
262032.9
Blue41
925526.5
835210.9
557717.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions805620401001201407041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.90.3
33.032.7
Auto9.8
Teleop13.7
End9.5
red by 6.5
9255
#11
26.51.6
25.724.1
Auto6.2
Teleop13.9
End6.4
Second
30.80.3
28.027.7
Auto7.6
Teleop15.0
End8.1
red by 13.2
5577
#21
17.51.0
19.318.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End7.1
Third
6616
#39
8.70.3
11.511.2
Auto2.5
Teleop3.0
End3.2
blue by 2.2
8352
#36
10.91.0
10.89.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
73%Activation oddsMissed16%Activation oddsMissed