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Red68
476810.6
222424.1
877420.7
Blue48
309627.9
769216.7
361913.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5166204060801001206848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2224
#12
24.11.2
22.023.3
Auto8.9
Teleop7.7
End7.5
blue by 3.8
27.91.1
27.126.0
Auto8.4
Teleop13.4
End6.2
Second
20.71.9
19.221.1
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End7.4
red by 4.0
7692
#23
16.71.8
16.314.5
Auto5.5
Teleop5.8
End5.4
Third
4768
#31
10.61.2
8.59.7
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End4.4
blue by 3.1
3619
#38
13.71.8
16.514.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsEarned26%Activation oddsMissed