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Red33
546713.5
81522.5
439011.2
Blue64
66168.7
718827.5
483816.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53543040506070803364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
815
#18
22.51.3
23.522.2
Auto7.1
Teleop8.5
End6.9
blue by 5.0
7188
#26
27.50.7
26.327.0
Auto7.3
Teleop14.6
End5.6
Second
5467
#22
13.51.2
14.713.5
Auto1.8
Teleop6.7
End5.0
blue by 2.6
4838
#35
16.10.7
15.416.1
Auto4.1
Teleop5.8
End6.2
Third
4390
#33
11.21.3
12.511.2
Auto4.5
Teleop4.6
End2.1
red by 2.5
6616
#39
8.70.7
8.08.7
Auto2.5
Teleop3.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
32%Activation oddsMissed11%Activation oddsMissed