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Red65
361913.7
468020.5
259114.7
Blue55
476810.6
835210.9
267318.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513902060801001201406555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4680
#25
20.50.9
19.820.7
Auto4.1
Teleop10.1
End6.3
red by 1.8
2673
#19
18.70.8
18.118.9
Auto2.8
Teleop11.8
End4.1
Second
2591
#20
14.71.0
13.714.7
Auto3.6
Teleop3.9
End7.3
red by 3.9
8352
#36
10.90.8
10.110.9
Auto2.5
Teleop6.2
End2.1
Third
3619
#38
13.71.0
12.713.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End2.8
red by 3.1
4768
#31
10.60.8
9.810.6
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
23%Activation oddsMissed5%Activation oddsMissed