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Red41
557717.5
439011.2
877420.7
Blue90
546713.5
233761.7
609916.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3978020601001201404190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.70.6
12.111.5
Auto5.7
Teleop7.7
End7.4
blue by 41.0
61.72.5
36.438.9
Auto15.2
Teleop37.9
End8.5
Second
5577
#21
17.50.4
17.216.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End7.1
red by 1.1
6099
#34
16.42.5
20.022.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.5
End2.0
Third
4390
#33
11.20.6
12.011.4
Auto4.5
Teleop4.6
End2.1
blue by 2.3
5467
#22
13.51.5
11.513.0
Auto1.8
Teleop6.7
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsMissed56%Activation oddsMissed