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Red118
653221.1
590130.8
12332.9
Blue71
204812.3
262032.9
81522.5
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions926902040608010012014011871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123
#8
32.90.7
32.533.1
Auto10.9
Teleop16.8
End5.2
Level
32.90.0
33.032.9
Auto9.8
Teleop13.7
End9.5
Second
30.80.7
30.331.0
Auto7.6
Teleop15.0
End8.1
red by 8.3
815
#18
22.50.0
22.522.5
Auto7.1
Teleop8.5
End6.9
Third
6532
#16
21.10.7
20.421.1
Auto9.5
Teleop5.1
End6.5
red by 8.8
2048
#32
12.30.0
12.312.3
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End0.8