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Red119
602920.6
118947.0
776943.7
Blue122
353938.2
22629.9
920721.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1228850100150200119122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.2
46.746.8
Auto13.8
Teleop25.4
End7.8
red by 8.7
38.20.7
37.438.1
Auto13.3
Teleop17.1
End7.9
Second
43.70.2
43.443.6
Auto11.2
Teleop22.8
End9.8
red by 13.8
226
#5
29.90.7
29.029.7
Auto8.0
Teleop13.5
End8.3
Third
6029
#19
20.60.2
20.320.5
Auto7.3
Teleop6.6
End6.7
blue by 0.7
9207
#24
21.30.7
20.521.1
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End8.5