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Red57
47688.9
656718.6
24019.3
Blue38
46936.4
91484.4
92539.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485510203040607080905738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
240
#29
19.31.2
22.523.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.7
End5.8
blue by 17.0
469
#2
36.42.5
29.326.9
Auto12.0
Teleop16.2
End8.2
Second
6567
#13
18.61.2
11.712.9
Auto3.3
Teleop6.0
End9.3
red by 9.4
9253
#39
9.22.5
10.68.1
Auto-0.8
Teleop2.4
End7.6
Third
4768
#26
8.91.2
11.813.0
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End4.0
red by 4.5
9148
#38
4.42.5
10.58.0
Auto0.8
Teleop1.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
27%Activation oddsEarned27%Activation oddsMissed