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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3681020601001201404292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3096
#14
21.10.3
14.915.3
Auto6.4
Teleop10.7
End3.9
blue by 22.6
43.72.5
36.539.0
Auto11.2
Teleop22.8
End9.8
Second
5498
#21
17.60.3
16.316.6
Auto5.7
Teleop9.7
End2.3
blue by 2.5
8280
#18
20.22.5
18.721.2
Auto7.1
Teleop6.9
End6.2
Third
9148
#38
4.40.3
8.08.3
Auto0.8
Teleop1.6
End2.0
blue by 4.9
4854
#28
9.32.5
14.717.1
Auto4.3
Teleop3.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
11%Activation oddsMissed78%Activation oddsEarned